Scenario techniques are used to grapple with uncertainty. Instead of attempting to predict what is going to happen, scenario analysis starts from the “what if” question and explores a range of plausible and distinct stories of the future. Scenarios can be used for a variety of purposes. There are many methods for developing scenarios. At their core, most share in common the early analytical phases. Scenario techniques have implications for montitoring and evaluation.
This is paper number 15 of our Monitoring and Evaluation Planning Series.
Monitoring and Evaluation Planning Series. Scenario Thinking. 15